Saturday, June 21, 2008

The Oil bubble is getting bigger, will it burst soon?


The current Oil prices seem intent on reaching new heights and with the latest announcement from the US energy secretary that the low production is the only cause behind the sudden increase in Oil prices, the ball has been knocked back onto Saudi Arabia's court.

With almost every single country reeling from high oil prices and the accompanying inflationary pressures, a conference of sorts is currently underway in Saudi Arabia, between the Oil suppliers and the Oil consuming nations. The steep hike has set ramapant inflation loose with many of the countries registering double digit inflation figures. China has already been on the brink of the 'double digit' inflation quite a while before the Oil crisis started. This was on account of its economy and with the current oil rates, the inflation is bound to shoot up like anything.

Samuel Bodman's comments prior to the conference suggests that the rest of the world has but lost their patience with Saudi Arabia as well as the rest of OPEC dragging their feet on this issue. One of the key goals of this conference would be to make Saudi Arabia see reason and not cry fowl. All the eyes are on the conference and one can but hope that the Oil bubble will burst soon rather than later, for the resultant mess would be easy to cope with.

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Saturday, June 14, 2008

Wall Street mulls the next move!


These days the Wall Street is in an introspective phase as it mulls the 'mood' of the market. The question on every one's mind is as to whether the market has bottomed out or is there more to come. With most of the analysts predicting that the market has not yet bottomed out and that it will require a huge catalyst, a miracle for most, in order to change the mood of the market, it may be quite some time before the market recovers.

But of late, the market seems to have lost the downward momentum causing many to ponder if the bearish mood of the market has come to an end. There have been some good news on the housing market and hopes are high that the bull will soon run amok at Wall Street. But that may not happen for some time to come on account of the surge in Oil prices, increasing by as much as 30% in the last three months. The pressure of the Oil prices reflect on most of the other financial markets with investors being a bit wary. So the anticipated change in the momentum of the Wall Street may well occur after the Oil rates come down a bit. But if they do not, then with increased inflationary pressures, one can only bite ones nails and hope that OPEC sees reason soon and increases the supply to counter the demand on Oil.

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